We can increasingly see signs that the Coalition is following the same trajectory towards election failure as recent long-serving governments

Andrew Crines uses the degenerative tendencies model as a basis to offer predictions for the general election. This approach holds that if a number of key issues are empirically identifiable within a long-serving government then these will serve as indicators of forthcoming election failure. While these issues are still embryonic within the present administration, it looks increasingly likely that they will go the way of past long-serving governments unless we see a rapid reversal of fortune.