Citizens forecast a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party

Murr, Andreas (2015) Citizens forecast a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party. [Online resource]
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Can citizens forecast the outcome of the UK election? In this post, Andreas Murr presents the results of his forecasting model, which predicts constituency level results by asking citizens in each constituency which party they think is likely to win in their area. The forecast suggests that there will be a hung parliament, with the Conservatives as the largest party.


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