What do local election results tell us about parties’ prospects in 2015?
Travers, T.
(9 January 2015)
What do local election results tell us about parties’ prospects in 2015?
British Politics and Policy at LSE.
(9 January 2015)
What do local election results tell us about parties’ prospects in 2015?
British Politics and Policy at LSE.
In this post, Tony Travers uses historical data from local elections to analyse the chances of a Labour party victory in 2015. Mirroring the general message from most current forecasting models, he finds that Labour are some way off the level that has been historically necessary for opposition parties to replace the government in UK elections.