Does it pay to buy the pot in the Canadian 6/49 Lotto: implications for lottery design

Moffitt, S. D. & Ziemba, W. T. (2017). Does it pay to buy the pot in the Canadian 6/49 Lotto: implications for lottery design. (Systemic Risk Centre Discussion Papers 64). Systemic Risk Centre, The London School of Economics and Political Science.
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The Canadian 6/49 Lotto©, despite its unusual payout structure, is one of the few government sponsored lotteries that has the potential for a favourable strategy we call "buying the pot". By "buying the pot" we mean that a syndicate buys one of each ticket in the lottery, ensuring that it holds a jackpot winner. We assume that the other bettors independently buy small numbers of tickets. This paper presents (1) a formula for the syndicate's expected return, (2) conditions under which buying the pot produces a significant positive expected return, and (3) the implications of these findings for lottery design.

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