How a small team of academics correctly predicted a Trump victory

Vukovic, V. (2016). How a small team of academics correctly predicted a Trump victory.
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Much like the UK’s vote to leave the European Union, few polling experts predicted Donald Trump would win the US presidential election. But this was not the case for all polling companies. Vuk Vukovic outlines a prediction model he developed with a small team of colleagues that proved remarkably accurate in calling the final result of the election and assesses how the method adopted could be used to provide more accurate predictions of future elections.

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