With unions in decline, Trump’s path to the presidency is unlikely to be through the Rust Belt.

In this election, Donald Trump has been drawing a great deal of his support from disaffected white working-class voters. Michael McQuarrie writes that Trump’s strategy of courting this group is not surprising; white workers have been slipping away from the Democratic Party for nearly 50 years. Much of this is down to the decline of unions, which in the past had been able to keep white voters anchored to the left. This decline – along with the changing demographics of the Rust Belt- also hurts Trump’s electoral chances; without unions to mobilize them, working class whites are less likely to vote.