Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president
Murr, A., Stegmaier, M. & Lewis-Beck, M. S.
(2016).
Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president.
Who will be the next US President? Some commentators have argued that voter intention polls are flawed because it is difficult to know who will actually turn out to vote. To get around this problem, Andreas Murr, Mary Stegmaier, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck use citizen forecasts, a “who do you think will win” survey question, to predict the election result.
| Item Type | Online resource |
|---|---|
| Copyright holders | © 2016 The Authors, USApp – American Politics and Policy Blog, The London School of Economics and Political Science © CC BY-NC 3.0 |
| Departments | LSE |
| Date Deposited | 27 Jan 2017 |
| URI | https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/69129 |