Climate change assessments: confidence, probability and decision
Bradley, R.
, Helgeson, C. & Hill, B.
(2017).
Climate change assessments: confidence, probability and decision.
Philosophy of Science,
84(3), 500-522.
https://doi.org/10.1086/692145
, Helgeson, C. & Hill, B.
(2017).
Climate change assessments: confidence, probability and decision.
Philosophy of Science,
84(3), 500-522.
https://doi.org/10.1086/692145
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.
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picture_as_pdf - Climate change assessments1.pdf
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subject - Accepted Version
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picture_as_pdf - Bradley_Climate change assessments.pdf
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subject - Published Version