Combining national and constituency polling for forecasting
Hanretty, C., Lauderdale, B. & Vivyan, N.
(2016).
Combining national and constituency polling for forecasting.
Electoral Studies,
41, 239-243.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2015.11.019
We describe a method for forecasting British general elections by combining national and constituency polling. We reconcile national and constituency estimates through a new swing model.
| Item Type | Article |
|---|---|
| Copyright holders | © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. |
| Departments | LSE > Academic Departments > Methodology |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.electstud.2015.11.019 |
| Date Deposited | 03 Feb 2016 |
| URI | https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/65213 |
Explore Further
- https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/84951817955 (Scopus publication)
- http://www.journals.elsevier.com/electoral-studies (Official URL)