Expert judgment for climate change adaptation
Thompson, E., Frigg, R.
& Helgeson, C.
(2016).
Expert judgment for climate change adaptation.
Philosophy of Science,
83(5), 1110-1121.
https://doi.org/10.1086/687942
& Helgeson, C.
(2016).
Expert judgment for climate change adaptation.
Philosophy of Science,
83(5), 1110-1121.
https://doi.org/10.1086/687942
Climate change adaptation is largely a local matter, and adaptation planning can benefit from local climate change projections. Such projections are typically generated by accepting climate model outputs in a relatively uncritical way. We argue, based on the IPCC’s treatment of model outputs from the CMIP5 ensemble, that this approach is unwarranted and that subjective expert judgment should play a central role in the provision of local climate change projections intended to support decision-making.