Strict local martingales and bubbles

Kardaras, ConstantinosORCID logo; Kreher, Dörte; and Nikeghbali, Ashkan (2015) Strict local martingales and bubbles Annals of Applied Probability, 25 (4). pp. 1827-1867. ISSN 1050-5164
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This paper deals with asset price bubbles modeled by strict local martingales. With any strict local martingale, one can associate a new measure, which is studied in detail in the first part of the paper. In the second part, we determine the “default term” apparent in risk-neutral option prices if the underlying stock exhibits a bubble modeled by a strict local martingale. Results for certain path dependent options and last passage time formulas are given.


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