Strict local martingales and bubbles

Kardaras, C.ORCID logo, Kreher, D. & Nikeghbali, A. (2015). Strict local martingales and bubbles. Annals of Applied Probability, 25(4), 1827-1867. https://doi.org/10.1214/14-AAP1037
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This paper deals with asset price bubbles modeled by strict local martingales. With any strict local martingale, one can associate a new measure, which is studied in detail in the first part of the paper. In the second part, we determine the “default term” apparent in risk-neutral option prices if the underlying stock exhibits a bubble modeled by a strict local martingale. Results for certain path dependent options and last passage time formulas are given.

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