Optimal diversification in the presence of parameter uncertainty for a risk averse investor

Dubois, M. S. & Veraart, L. A. M.ORCID logo (2015). Optimal diversification in the presence of parameter uncertainty for a risk averse investor. SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 6(1), 201-241. https://doi.org/10.1137/130942826
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We consider an investor who faces parameter uncertainty in a continuoustime financial market. We model the investor's preference by a power utility function leading to constant relative risk aversion. We show that the loss in expected utility is large when using a simple plug-in strategy for unknown parameters. We also provide theoretical results that show the trade-off between holding a well-diversified portfolio and a portfolio that is robust against estimation errors. To reduce the effect of estimation, we constrain the weights of the risky assets with an L1-norm leading to a sparse portfolio. We provide analytical results that show how the sparsity of the constrained portfolio depends on the coefficient of relative risk aversion. Based on a simulation study, we demonstrate the existence and the uniqueness of an optimal bound on the L1-norm for each level of relative risk aversion.

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