Skill-biased technological change and the business cycle

Balleer, Almut; and van Rens, Thijs (2012) Skill-biased technological change and the business cycle. Review of Economics and Statistics. ISSN 0034-6535
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Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run zero and sign restrictions. Hours fall in response to skill-biased technology shocks, indicating that part of the technology-induced fall in hours is due to a compositional shift in labor demand. Investment-specific technology shocks reduce the skill premium, indicating that capital and skill are not complementary in aggregate production.

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