Crime deterrence: evidence from the London 2011 riots

Bell, Brian; Jaitman, Laura; and Machin, StephenORCID logo (2014) Crime deterrence: evidence from the London 2011 riots. The Economic Journal, 124 (576). pp. 480-506. ISSN 0013-0133
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Significant riots occurred in London in August 2011. The riots took place in highly localised geographical areas, with crime going up hugely in the affected sub-wards. The criminal justice response was to make sentencing for rioters much more severe. We show a significant drop in riot crimes across London in the six months after the riots, consistent with a deterrence effect from the tougher sentencing. More evidence of general deterrence comes from the observation that crime also fell in the post-riot aftermath in areas where rioting did not take place. © 2014 Royal Economic Society.

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