Advanced communication technologies and services:design configuration and stakeholder interests in Europe

This paper presents scenarios based on analysis of the configurations of technologies and stakeholder interests that are likely to emerge in the short, medium and long term in Europe. The analytical approach differs from most efforts to describe the future of advanced communication technologies and services. First, it does not depend on hypothetical assumptions about the behaviour of firms and governments; it is based on observations of the actions of key actors or stakeholders who influence the development of new markets. Second, it is not based only on extrapolations of expected user behaviour; but on analyses of likely outcomes generated by relationships between developments in technologies, markets and policy.