Exhuming the no-miracles argument
Howson, Colin
(2013)
Exhuming the no-miracles argument.
Analysis, 73 (2).
pp. 205-211.
ISSN 0003-2638
The No-Miracles Argument has a natural representation as a probabilistic argument. As such, it commits the base-rate fallacy. In this article, I argue that a recent attempt to show that there is still a serviceable version that avoids the base-rate fallacy fails, and with it all realistic hope of resuscitating the argument.
| Item Type | Article |
|---|---|
| Keywords | no-miracles argument,base-rate fallacy,prior probabilities,likelihood ratio |
| Departments | Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method |
| DOI | 10.1093/analys/ant012 |
| Date Deposited | 21 May 2013 10:08 |
| URI | https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/50350 |