Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980

Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B. & Phillips, L. D. (1982). Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980. In Kahneman, D., Slovic, P. & Tversky, A. (Eds.), Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (pp. 306-334). Cambridge University Press.
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