New evidence on the effects of US monetary policy on exchange rates

Kalyvitis, Sarantis; and Michaelides, Alexander (2001) New evidence on the effects of US monetary policy on exchange rates. Economics Letters, 71 (2). pp. 255-263. ISSN 0165-1765
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We examine the impact of US monetary policy shocks on exchange rates using the monetary policy indicator proposed by Bernanke and Mihov [Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113 (1998) 869–902]. We find evidence for instantaneous, rather than delayed, US dollar overshooting after a monetary shock when relative output and relative prices are included in the VAR specification. The forward premium puzzle persists due to the interest rate differential response.


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