Unemployment insurance financing as a uniform payroll tax

Graves, S., Hazell, J.ORCID logo, Lewis, W. F. & Patterson, C. (2022). Unemployment insurance financing as a uniform payroll tax. AEA Papers and Proceedings, 112, 97 - 101. https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20221072
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In the United States, unemployment insurance (UI) is financed by taxes levied on employers. We develop a model to decompose UI taxes into a firing tax component levied on firms that lay off workers, and a uniform payroll tax component levied on all firms regardless of their layoffs. We develop a novel methodology to measure the two components and document a number of facts about the uniform payroll tax component: it is large, accounting for just under half of UI taxes; it rises significantly after recessions; and it is more cyclical in states with poorly funded UI systems.

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