How does fiscal policy affect the transmission of monetary policy into cross-border bank lending? Cross-country evidence
Pradhan, Swapan-Kumar; Takáts, Előd; and Temesvary, Judit
(2024)
How does fiscal policy affect the transmission of monetary policy into cross-border bank lending? Cross-country evidence.
[Working paper]
We use a rarely accessed BIS database on bilateral cross-border bank claims by bank nationality to examine the interaction of monetary and fiscal policies. We find significant interactions: the transmission of the monetary policies of major currency issuers is significantly influenced by the fiscal stance of source (home) lending banking systems. Fiscal consolidation in a source country amplifies the effect of currency issuers' monetary policy on lending. For instance, a reduction in the German debt-to-GDP ratio amplifies the negative impact of US monetary policy tightening on USD-denominated cross-border bank lending outflows from German banks. The interaction effects are the strongest for US monetary policy.
| Item Type | Working paper |
|---|---|
| Keywords | monetary policy,government debt,cross-border claims,differences-in-differences |
| Departments | LSE |
| DOI | 10.17016/ifdp.2024.1400 |
| Date Deposited | 21 Jan 2025 15:51 |
| URI | https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/126988 |