Devaluation, exports, and recovery from the Great Depression
Lennard, J.
& Paker, M.
(2026).
Devaluation, exports, and recovery from the Great Depression.
Journal of Economic History,
https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022050725101009
This paper evaluates how a major policy shift – the suspension of the gold standard in September 1931 – affected employment outcomes in interwar Britain. We use a new high-frequency industry-level dataset and difference-in-differences techniques to isolate the impact of devaluation on exporters. At the micro level, the break from gold reduced the unemployment rate by 2.7 percentage points for export-intensive industries relative to non-export industries. At the aggregate level, this effect stimulated the labor market, the fiscal outlook, and economic growth. Devaluation was therefore an important initial spark of recovery from the depths of the Great Depression.
| Item Type | Article |
|---|---|
| Copyright holders | © 2026 The Authors |
| Departments | LSE > Academic Departments > Economic History |
| DOI | 10.1017/s0022050725101009 |
| Date Deposited | 20 Dec 2024 |
| Acceptance Date | 19 Dec 2024 |
| URI | https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/126517 |
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ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6700-8969
