Striking the implied volatility of US drone companies

Bevilacqua, Mattia; Morelli, David; and Uzan, Paola Sultana Renée (2021) Striking the implied volatility of US drone companies. International Review of Financial Analysis, 77: 101832. ISSN 1057-5219
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This study analyzes the impact of drone strikes on the implied volatility of US drone companies. We find evidence of an overall increase in the implied volatility the day after the strike. We subset drone strikes according to countries targeted and US president in office, finding a more significant impact for strikes in Afghanistan and Pakistan, and under the Bush or Obama's administration. We find that drone strikes are also associated with next day decreasing stock returns of the drone companies. A possible increasing geopolitical risk concern and resiliency rationale may explain our findings.

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