Powers that be? Political alignment, government formation, and government stability

Carozzi, F.ORCID logo, Cipullo, D. & Repetto, L. (2024). Powers that be? Political alignment, government formation, and government stability. Journal of Public Economics, 230, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2023.105017
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We study how partisan alignment across levels of government affects coalition formation and government stability using a regression discontinuity design and a large dataset of Spanish municipal elections. We document a positive effect of alignment on both government formation and stability. Alignment increases the probability that the most-voted party appoints the mayor and decreases the probability that the government is unseated during the term. Aligned parties also obtain sizeable electoral gains in the next elections. We show that these findings are not the consequence of favoritism in the allocation of transfers towards aligned governments.
Item Type Article
Copyright holders © 2023 The Authors
Departments LSE > Academic Departments > Geography and Environment
DOI 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2023.105017
Date Deposited 31 Oct 2023
Acceptance Date 27 Oct 2023
URI https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/120574

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