Citizen forecasting suggests Macron will win a comfortable victory over Marine Le Pen

Murr, A. E., Dufresne, Y., Savoie, J., Jérôme, B. & Lewis-Beck, M. S. (22 April 2022) Citizen forecasting suggests Macron will win a comfortable victory over Marine Le Pen. LSE European Politics and Policy (EUROPP) blog.
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With the second round of the French presidential election just days away, what can election forecasts tell us about the likely result? Drawing on a citizen forecasting model, Andreas Murr, Yannick Dufresne, Justin Savoie, Bruno Jérôme and Michael S. Lewis-Beck write that Emmanuel Macron looks set to win a comfortable victory over Marine Le Pen.

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