Long-range dependent curve time series
We introduce methods and theory for functional or curve time series with long-range dependence. The temporal sum of the curve process is shown to be asymptotically normally distributed, the conditions for this covering a functional version of fractionally integrated autoregressive moving averages. We also construct an estimate of the long-run covariance function, which we use, via functional principal component analysis, in estimating the orthonormal functions spanning the dominant subspace of the curves. In a semiparametric context, we propose an estimate of the memory parameter and establish its consistency. A Monte Carlo study of finite-sample performance is included, along with two empirical applications. The first of these finds a degree of stability and persistence in intraday stock returns. The second finds similarity in the extent of long memory in incremental age-specific fertility rates across some developed nations. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.
| Item Type | Article |
|---|---|
| Copyright holders | © 2019 American Statistical Association. |
| Keywords | curve process, functional FARIMA, functional principal component analysis, liimit theorems, long-range dependence |
| Departments | Economics |
| DOI | 10.1080/01621459.2019.1604362 |
| Date Deposited | 31 Aug 2022 15:15 |
| Acceptance Date | 2019-03-10 |
| URI | https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/116409 |