Nonparametric prediction with spatial data

Gupta, A. & Hidalgo, J. (2022). Nonparametric prediction with spatial data. Econometric Theory, https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466622000226
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We describe a (nonparametric) prediction algorithm for spatial data, based on a canonical factorization of the spectral density function. We provide theoretical results showing that the predictor has desirable asymptotic properties. Finite sample performance is assessed in a Monte Carlo study that also compares our algorithm to a rival nonparametric method based on the infinite AR representation of the dynamics of the data. Finally, we apply our methodology to predict house prices in Los Angeles.

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