Financial crises and liberalization: progress or reversals?

Saka, Orkun; Campos, Nauro F.; De Grauwe, PaulORCID logo; Ji, Yuemei; and Martelli, AngeloORCID logo (2020) Financial crises and liberalization: progress or reversals? In: Economic Growth and Structural Reforms in Europe. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 177 - 213. ISBN 9781108479110
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Financial crisis could play a key role in changing the policy equilibrium concerning financial markets and institutions. Using a recent comprehensive dataset on financial liberalization across ninety-four countries for the period between 1973 and 2015, we formally test the validity of this prediction for the member states of the European Union as well as a global sample. We contribute by (a) using a new up-to-date dataset of reforms and crises and (b) subjecting it to a combination of difference-in-differences and local projection estimations. In the global sample, our findings on the causal relationship between crises and liberal reforms consistently point out a negative direction between the two, suggesting that governments react to crises by intervening in financial markets. However, in a dynamic setting with impulse responses, we also illustrate that such interventions are only temporary and liberalization process restarts after a financial crisis. In the EU sample, however, we do not find sufficient evidence to support either of these observations.

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