Are we witnessing a ‘deal dividend’ effect on the economy?

Milas, Costas; and Ellington, Michael (2018) Are we witnessing a ‘deal dividend’ effect on the economy? [['eprint_typename_blog_post' not defined]]

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The latest GDP data for 2018 shows an annual growth of about 1.6%. This may be reflecting expectations of an impending Brexit deal which would greatly reduce policy uncertainty, write Costas Milas and Michael Ellington. But if this growth is indeed conditional on a deal, no deal will result in no dividend.