After Brexit:the impacts on the UK and EU economies by 2030

In a survey of European and US economists, 86% believe that the UK economy is likely to be at least several percentage points smaller in 2030 than it would otherwise have been. Only a quarter of respondents believe the same applies to the EU-27 economy, while 41% don’t consider that the impact on the EU will be strongly negative, writes Romesh Vaitilingam.