A political economy forecast of Ireland’s 2020 general election government seat losses less than assumed?

Lewis-Beck, M. S. & Quinlan, S. (7 February 2020) A political economy forecast of Ireland’s 2020 general election government seat losses less than assumed? Democratic Audit Blog.
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Ireland votes in a general election on Saturday, 8 February. Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Stephen Quinlan explain how a new forecast model suggests that Leo Varadkar’s Fine Gael will lose seats, but perhaps fewer than opinion polls currently suggest.

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