Why Donald Trump’s electoral college advantage could be even bigger in 2020

In 2016 Donald Trump was able to win the White House while at the same time losing the national popular vote. Richard Johnson looks at whether the incumbent president may be able to do the same thing again this year. He writes that because of how the Electoral College works, across the 30 states which backed him in 2016, Trump gained over 8.3 million ‘surplus’ votes in 2016. Trump could still win next week even if he performs slightly less well in most of 2016’s red states, while doing very well in key marginal states like Pennsylvania.