Trapped factors and China’s impact on global growth

Bloom, Nick; Romer, Paul; Terry, Stephen; and Van Reenen, JohnORCID logo (2020) Trapped factors and China’s impact on global growth Economic Journal. ISSN 0013-0133
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After a recent increase in Chinese import competition, European firms increased innovation. We present and rationalise these patterns using “trapped factors” at the micro level within a stylised equilibrium model of product-cycle trade and growth. Trade integration of the magnitude observed between the OECD and low-wage nations as a whole can considerably increase the long-run growth rate and welfare. In the short-run exposed firms devote trapped factors to increased innovation, leading both to increased innovation at these individual firms as well as to a small amount of extra transitional growth overall. China accounts for half of the dynamic trade gains

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