An EM algorithm for fitting a new class of mixed exponential regression models with varying dispersion
Regression modelling involving heavy-tailed response distributions, which have heavier tails than the exponential distribution, has become increasingly popular in many insurance settings including non-life insurance. Mixed Exponential models can be considered as a natural choice for the distribution of heavy-tailed claim sizes since their tails are not exponentially bounded. This paper is concerned with introducing a general family of mixed Exponential regression models with varying dispersion which can efficiently capture the tail behaviour of losses. Our main achievement is that we present an Expectation-Maximization (EM)-type algorithm which can facilitate maximum likelihood (ML) estimation for our class of mixed Exponential models which allows for regression specifications for both the mean and dispersion parameters. Finally, a real data application based on motor insurance data is given to illustrate the versatility of the proposed EM-type algorithm.
| Item Type | Article |
|---|---|
| Copyright holders | © 2020 Astin Bulletin |
| Keywords | mixed exponential distributions, EM algorithm, regression models for the mean and dispersion parameters, non-life insurance, heavy-tailed losses |
| Departments | Statistics |
| DOI | 10.1017/asb.2020.13 |
| Date Deposited | 07 Apr 2020 14:45 |
| Acceptance Date | 2020-04-01 |
| URI | https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/104027 |
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