Jump or kink: note on super-efficiency in segmented linear regression break-point estimation

Chen, Y.ORCID logo (2020). Jump or kink: note on super-efficiency in segmented linear regression break-point estimation. Biometrika, https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/asaa049
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We consider the problem of segmented linear regression with a single breakpoint, with the focus on estimating the location of the breakpoint. If $n$ is the sample size, we show that the global minimax convergence rate for this problem in terms of the mean absolute error is $O(n^{-1/3})$. On the other hand, we demonstrate the construction of a super-efficient estimator that achieves the pointwise convergence rate of either $O(n^{-1})$ or $O(n^{-1/2})$ for every fixed parameter value, depending on whether the structural change is a jump or a kink. The implications of this example and a potential remedy are discussed.

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