Mandelbrot's stochastic time series models
I survey and illustrate the main time series models that Mandelbrot introduced into time series analysis in the 1960s and 1970s. I focus particularly on the members of the additive fractional stable family including Lévy flights and fractional Brownian motion (fBm), noting some of the less well-known aspects of this family, such as the cases when the self-similarity exponent H and the Hurst exponent J differ. I briefly discuss the role of multiplicative models in modeling the physics of cascades. I then recount the still little-known story of Mandelbrot's work on fractional renewal models in the late 1960s, explaining how these differ from their more familiar fBm counterpart and form a "missing link" between fBm and the problem of random change points. I conclude by highlighting the frontier problem of damped fractional models.
| Item Type | Article |
|---|---|
| Copyright holders | © 2019 The Author |
| Departments | Centre for Analysis of Time Series |
| DOI | 10.1029/2019EA000598 |
| Date Deposited | 11 Nov 2019 14:42 |
| Acceptance Date | 2019-09-16 |
| URI | https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/102474 |
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