Diversification through trade
Caselli, F.
, Koren, M., Lisicky, M. & Tenreyro, S.
(2020).
Diversification through trade.
Quarterly Journal of Economics,
135(1), 449 - 502.
https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjz028
, Koren, M., Lisicky, M. & Tenreyro, S.
(2020).
Diversification through trade.
Quarterly Journal of Economics,
135(1), 449 - 502.
https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjz028
A widely held view is that openness to international trade leads to higher income volatility, as trade increases specialization and hence exposure to sector-specific shocks. Contrary to this common wisdom, we argue that when country-wide shocks are important, openness to international trade can lower income volatility by reducing exposure to domestic shocks and allowing countries to diversify the sources of demand and supply across countries. Using a quantitative model of trade, we assess the importance of the two mechanisms (sectoral specialization and cross-country diversification) and show that in recent decades international trade has reduced economic volatility for most countries.
Explore Further
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Caselli, F., Tenreyro, S., Koren, M. & Lisicky, M.
(2019).
Replication Data for: 'Diversification Through Trade'.
[Dataset]. Harvard Dataverse.
https://doi.org/10.7910/dvn/fe0uym