Channeling Fisher: randomization tests and the statistical insignificance of seemingly significant experimental results
Young, Alwyn
(2019)
Channeling Fisher: randomization tests and the statistical insignificance of seemingly significant experimental results
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 134 (2).
557 - 598.
ISSN 0033-5533
I follow R. A. Fisher's The Design of Experiments (1935), using randomization statistical inference to test the null hypothesis of no treatment effects in a comprehensive sample of 53 experimental papers drawn from the journals of the American Economic Association. In the average paper, randomization tests of the significance of individual treatment effects find 13% to 22% fewer significant results than are found using authors’ methods. In joint tests of multiple treatment effects appearing together in tables, randomization tests yield 33% to 49% fewer statistically significant results than conventional tests. Bootstrap and jackknife methods support and confirm the randomization results.
| Item Type | Article |
|---|---|
| Copyright holders | © 2018 The Author |
| Departments | Economics |
| DOI | 10.1093/qje/qjy029 |
| Date Deposited | 19 Aug 2019 15:36 |
| Acceptance Date | 2018-10-20 |
| URI | https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/101401 |
Explore Further
- http://www.lse.ac.uk/economics/people/faculty/alwyn-young (Author)
- https://academic.oup.com/qje (Official URL)
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