Items where Author is "Lewis-Beck, Michael S."

Number of items: 10.
Online resource
  • In forecasting the 2016 election result, modelers had a good year. Pollsters did not. Tien, Charles and Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
  • Left-wing parties in Western Europe gain votes when unemployment rises, but only when they are in opposition. Dassonneville, Ruth and Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
  • To improve their predictions, election forecasters should look to other disciplines like meteorology. Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Stegmaier, Mary
  • Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president. Murr, Andreas and Stegmaier, Mary and Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
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  • Asking people in each state who they think will win suggests that the presidential election may be very close. Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Murr, Andreas E. picture_as_pdf
  • Citizen forecasting 2019:a big win for the Conservatives. Murr, Andreas and Stegmaier, Mary and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. picture_as_pdf
  • Citizen forecasting suggests Macron will win a comfortable victory over Marine Le Pen. Murr, Andreas E. and Dufresne, Yannick and Savoie, Justin and Jérôme, Bruno and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. picture_as_pdf
  • Washington DC may be politically polarized but most Americans are not. Norpoth, Helmut and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. picture_as_pdf
  • A political economy forecast of Ireland’s 2020 general election:government seat losses less than assumed? Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Quinlan, Stephen picture_as_pdf
  • The state of Denmark:what voters can tell us about the future of the Danish ideal. Stubager, Rune and Hansen, Kasper M. and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Nadeau, Richard picture_as_pdf