Data and Code for "A Preferred-Habitat Model of Term Premia, Exchange Rates, and Monetary Policy Spillovers"
The project is data and code accompanying our article. The abstract of the article is: We develop a two-country model in which currency and bond markets are populated by different investor clienteles, and segmentation is partly overcome by arbitrageurs with limited capital. Risk premia in our model are time-varying, connected across markets, and consistent with the empirical violations of Uncovered Interest Parity and Expectations Hypothesis. Through risk premia, large-scale bond purchases lower domestic and foreign bond yields and depreciate the currency, and short-rate cuts lower foreign yields, with smaller effects than bond purchases. Currency returns are disconnected from long-maturity bond returns, and yet the currency market is instrumental in transmitting bond demand shocks across countries.
| Item Type | Dataset |
|---|---|
| Publisher | OpenICPSR |
| DOI | 10.3886/e228661 |
| Date made available | 2 October 2025 |
| Keywords | Publicly available macroeconomic and financial data |
| Temporal coverage |
From To January 1986 January 2021 |
| Geographic coverage | US, Europe |
| Resource language | Other |
| Departments | LSE > Academic Departments > Finance |
Explore Further
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Gourinchas, P., Ray, W. & Vayanos, D.
(2025). A preferred-habitat model of term premia, exchange rates, and monetary policy spillovers. American Economic Review, 115(11), 3788 – 3824. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20220379 (Repository Output)