Data produced for "Crop switching reduces agricultural losses from climate change in the United States by half"

This data archive includes all of the results from the models used to produce the paper "Crop switching reduces agricultural losses from climate change in the United States by half". It contains three main archives: 1. inputs: The temperature and water stress indicators for each crop, along with county-level log-yields. Both the Bayesian and OLS models are fit to this data. Static covariates are available in us-bioclims-new.csv. Files: data-inputs-futureedds1.zip - data-inputs-futureedds3.zip: GCM-specific quantifications of the exceedance degree days used as temperature predictors. data-inputs-other.zip: All other input files. 2. bayes: Each of the variables fit in the Bayesian model, for each MCMC draw from the posterior distribution. The contained directory includes for each crop versions with constant variance (-variance) and under cross-validation (-cv). The counties are ordered according to fips-usa.csv. Files: data-bayes-checks: Posterior predictive check outputs. data-bayes-full-constvar-*.zip: MCMC draws for the all-years fit assuming constant variance. Divided to make the files more manageable. data-bayes-full-varvar.zip: MCMC draws for the all-years fit assuming county-specific variances. data-bayes-cv-constvar.zip: MCMC draws for the cross-validation fit assuming constant variance. data-bayes-cv-varvar-*.zip: MCMC draws for the cross-validation fit assuming county-specific variances. Divided to make the files more manageable. 3. optim: Optimization model results. The results/ directory contains the optimization results for each set of assumptions presented in the appendix, applied to the average yield levels. The results-mc/ directory contains profit, yield, and optimization results for each draw of the MCMC independently. Files: data-optim-inputs-mc.zip: Locally optimal cropping files, under MCMC draws of the model. data-optim-results-mc.zip: Constrainted optimization model results, under MCMC draws of the model. data-optim-results.zip: Constrained optimization model results, using the average parameters of the model. data-optim-other.zip: Other outputs of the optimization process.